Start free trialLogin
FeaturesPricingContact
Start free trialLogin
BayescaseBuild better business cases
Product Portfolio Managers

See the Odds. Fund the Winners.

Compare scenarios with confidence intervals, balance risk and runway, and allocate capital where it moves the portfolio. Bayescase turns assumptions into ranges, simulates, and shows probabilities for ROI, P&L, and cash flow across products - without the spreadsheet chaos.

Build your first case in 30 minutes • No credit card required

Return on Invest - Risk vs Reward

Select product investments to balance your portfolio investment and risk

Total Investment
$1089k
Portfolio ROI
43%
Portfolio Risk
14%

Select Projects

Portfolio Management Challenges

error_outline
THE REALITY:
Brittle Models, Hidden Errors

Brittle models hide hard-codes and formula bugs that break with change. Version drift and copy-paste slow updates and erode trust.

check_circle
THE SOLUTION:
Robust Models, Clear Logic

Bayescase delivers structured, error-resistant models with transparent logic. AI speeds build and refactor; assumptions and sources stay visible - updates take minutes.

error_outline
THE REALITY:
Misaligned Incentives. Unreliable Business Cases.

Case builders and reviewers chase different goals, assumptions stretch, and transparency fades. Decisions hinge on persuasion, not facts.

check_circle
THE SOLUTION:
Transparency by Design.

Bayescase makes every input, range, source, and scenario visible in one shared model. Inflated numbers and hidden downsides become obvious. Decisions rest on evidence, not persuasion.

error_outline
THE REALITY:
Scattered Data, Conflicting Numbers

Data sprawls across spreadsheets, decks, and BI tools. Conflicting numbers get re-keyed, and every cycle burns hours on reconciliation and versioning.

check_circle
THE SOLUTION:
One Model, One Source of Truth

Bayescase unifies creation, validation, goals, actuals, forecasts and sharing in one model - one canonical dataset. No re-entry, no reconciliation, no version chaos.

Built for Portfolio Managers

balance

Portfolio risk balancing

Blend high-risk, high-reward bets with safer plays, optimize expected return versus volatility, and align investments to strategic priorities across portfolios.

compare

Scenario modeling and comparison

Create what-if scenarios for any decision, compare outcomes side-by-side, and choose the option with the best risk-reward for your project.

speed

Uncertainty and value drivers

Identify the assumptions with the greatest impact on outcomes, ranked by sensitivity, so you focus efforts where they matter most.

auto_awesome

Build business cases fast

Use AI to scaffold calculations, propose realistic assumption ranges, and validate logic, so full business cases come together in minutes.

Frequently Asked Questions

How do I justify budget allocation decisions?
expand_more

Use a risk-adjusted analysis to show which products deserve more budget. Bayescase provides transparent, data-driven rationale that makes allocation decisions defendable.

Can I model resource constraints?
expand_more

Yes. Model shared resources, dependencies, and timing constraints to understand your real capacity and make informed tradeoffs.

Can I see the probability of achieving milestones?
expand_more

Yes. Set milestones with target dates and success criteria, then track the probability of hitting them as actuals roll in. This keeps your team aligned and gives stakeholders confidence.

What makes Bayescase different from spreadsheets?
expand_more

Bayescase is purpose-built for probabilistic modeling, with native support for uncertainty, Monte Carlo simulations, and scenario comparison. Unlike spreadsheets, it provides structure that prevents errors, AI assistance for faster modeling, and automated board-ready reporting.

Can I see portfolio-level cash flow?
expand_more

Yes. Bayescase rolls up individual project cash flows to give you a portfolio-level view. This helps you identify timing conflicts, funding needs, and resource constraints before they become problems.

How does Bayescase handle different scenarios?
expand_more

You can model multiple scenarios simultaneously. Bayescase shows you the assumptions going in and compares the probabilistic outcomes of all of your options, so stakeholders understand both the plan and the risk.

Ready to Optimize Your Portfolio?

See the odds, not just the averages. Allocate budget where it moves the needle and balance risk across products.

Start Free Trial